Monday 9 November 2009

Climate Change and Alternative Energy Program – Part 6

This is the final entry from the trip, and thanks to a hectic final day in Washington State, it’s been written on my first day back in the office in the UK.

An early start to the day as we were bundled into our van at 08.00 to drive across to the Washington State capital, Olympia. Our first meeting was with State Senator Karen Fraser, which was held in the magnificent State Capital building. Karen was kind enough to give us a US politics 101 class at the start of the meeting which helped clear up some things that had been confusing me (that’s not me saying I now understand everything by the way!). I’ll not delve into this here, but it is worth noting that each US State has its own Constitution, and that any law passed must be in line with the Constitution or it can face legal challenge. It’s also worth noting that States have freedom to act where there is an absence of a National initiative; the emergence of State level GHG initiatives (such as cap and trade schemes) is an example of this. Washington State has not yet passed a cap and trade initiative, although one is in the legislative pipeline (it has been knocked back once already).

In a wide ranging discussion, a number of interesting points arose. The first is that people are feeling oppressed by the level of US debt and therefore there is a pushback on new spending programmes. Action on climate change is being directly affected by this. It is easier to deal with water and air quality issues as these are more tangible to the public.

Washington State is somewhat distrustful of nuclear power, due to a rather chequered history. The State has one of the most contaminated nuclear sites in America, and there is a perception of significant feet dragging at Federal level over clean up of the site. It was noted that a failed bond scheme for new nuclear build has further soured public opinion.

Regarding other power sources, I’ve already mentioned that the State derives around 60% of its power from hydro. Coal is unfavourable in the State and in fact there is only one coal power station in Washington. Natural gas is less disfavoured than coal. I’ve also mentioned previously the existence of NIMBY opposition to wind power as well as issues of grid connection. The fact that certain power sources are disfavoured is important because elected Representatives and Senators tend to represent their districts more strongly than there parties (because elections come around so frequently), so a strong local bias is likely to be reflected in the voting on Bills.

Our next visit was to the Washington Department of Ecology (DoEc), where we had an interesting discussion on climate change adaptation. Washington has 2200 miles of coastline and is already experiencing erosion problems and models are predicting further pummelling through storms and waves. Currently the DoEc is hoping to incorporate some forward planning into a forthcoming State Act (I missed the title) to help mitigate against these impacts.

In Colorado we heard that there are potentially serious problems relating to water availability and I asked if the same was true in Washington. From models, it appears that the overall quantity of freshwater will not change appreciably; but there less snow melt and more rainwater as things warm up. Additionally there may earlier low river flow in summer, which is bad news for salmon, which are already in trouble in the State.

We heard that the DoEc is being encouraged to save energy, as are other Departments within the State. What was interesting was that the DoEc will be allowed to keep up to 50% of the savings as long as they reinvest into energy efficiency. All Departments have targets, but there isn’t really a penalty of missing them - other than the shame factor.

Dave Sjoding, from Washington State University, described some of the DoEc energy from waste projects. As with many places, the State is running out of landfill space and is therefore examining options to reduce waste being buried. What I liked about this CHP proposal was that it was more holistic than simply burning rubbish; co-products were considered, such as phosphorus and nitrogen for fertiliser.

We headed back to Seattle for the final formal meeting of the day, which was with Kevin Schneider, a smart grid expert from the Pacific North West National Laboratory. Kevin gave an absolutely fantastic overview of the US power system and noted that idea of a smart grid is somewhat of a misnomer. He suggested that it is more likely that a smart grid will be a way to operate the electricity system in a more flexible way utilising communications and information technology. He suggested that such a grid would have more information on how electricity is consumed, would have better utilisation of assets and would integrate renewables.

He noted an experiment in the Olympic Peninsula – a community that is served by a single power line that is rather congested. Smart devices were deployed to each dwelling that relayed information to a central computer and had the ability to control certain household devices, such as hot water, heating systems, fridges and dryer loads. Consumers were supplied with a simple dial that allowed them to set it to “more comfort” or “more saving”. Each dwelling had an account set up into which a portion of their previous energy bill was placed, and were told that any money remaining in the account at the end of the project would be theirs (i.e. there was a fiscal incentive to save energy). The master computer then conducted real time auctions between the dwellings, based on the dial settings. At times of peak, dwellings set to "more saving" could have applicances turned of briefly to flatten the demand. The result of the one-year trial was threefold:
  1. There were no interrupted load complaints
  2. Peak load was reduced by up to 30%
  3. The power demand was much smoother – in fact during one 12-hour period it was almost completely smooth, which is virtually unheard of!
Kevin noted that Smart Grids may not necessarily cut bills, but they can make a difference in power quality and infrastructure use efficiency. He also noted that it is expensive to install such technologies in the house and perhaps in the short term better gains might be had through smart control of the T&D infrastructure.

Hype and overselling has been a key feature of Smart Grids and fears about invasion of privacy (e.g. the Government is controlling your AC unit) or overstated benefits (e.g. a report estimated vehicle to grid technologies could earn EV owners up to $6,000 per annum, when the figure is likely to be closer to $50) have set its reputation back somewhat.

Our final appointment was a social engagement in the hotel bar with Craig Gannett , a local lawyer working in the field of renewable energy.

All in all a fantastic trip with some great highlights! Many thanks to the US Embassy in London and the US State Department (and ultimately the US tax payer) for hosting us and to the various local bodies in Washington, Denver and Seattle who arranged the programme. I’m absolutely sure that all I’ve learned will be useful in the future, although right now I haven’t quite worked out what to apply it to!

Friday 6 November 2009

Climate Change and Alternative Energy Program - Part 5

Our first of four meetings was with Climate Solutions (CS). They are a not for profit organisation seeking practical solutions to climate change in the Pacific North West (Washington, Idaho, Oregon and Montana). CS is funded by Foundation money and contributions from other organisations such as industry.

NOTE: Whilst Idaho is included, they are not active because they have a staunch Republican Governor - it was quite obvious to us that they are only included because they border with Montana and therefore it would be odd if they were excluded.

CS reiterated many of the points we have already heard regarding the state of play of climate legislation and also the fact that much of the recovery funds is going to large companies rather than SMEs.

CS are engaged in a number of activities in partnership with others. An example is a recently launched report "Carbon free prosperity 2025" which highlights opportunities for the NW alongside a refreshingly honest approach to capacity to deliver.

CS are engaged with an organisation, New Energy Solutions, to develop energy efficiency strategies bespoke to different communities. For example they are working with high end (middle class) and lower end (manufacturing) communities to understand and implement measures that will be most effective in efficiency gains. For example, in the high end communities, people prefer a whole house service, delivered by trusted tradesmen.

CS also work at the Federal level also, keeping up to date on current policy. They have found that the best mechanism to have impact is to cultivate relationships with stakeholders who can access Senators. One such group is Business Leaders for Climate Change which comprises over 100 business leaders.

Interestingly CS had a better handle on policy impacts than I am used to seeing. For example, their work contributed to Republican Senators voting for the Waxman - Markey Bill.

Our next visit was to an SME - Bionavitas. The company specialises in technology to grow algal biomass. Their basic technology is to use fibre optic cables to permeate light through algae growth tanks resulting in a greatly enhanced (factor of 10) yield per unit light.

The company is founded and funded by a board of business angels, of which there are many in Washington (for example Microsoft started here).

Whilst Bionavitas is interested in biofuels, their core business is remediation. Washington State has a number of phosphorus mines which are leaching selenium into water sources causing downstream problems. Bionavitas are growing algae that remove and fix selenium and filtering the water.

Another profitable line is to grow astaxanthin producing algae. Astaxanthin is the nutrient that turns salmon flesh pink (it's found in shrimp etc) and is a valuable commodity for fish farms.

The CEO noted that it is difficult to raise funds from Federal money as the application process is complicated and long (100 page plus proposals). Some recovery money is slightly easier to access.

Our final meeting was with Democratic State Representative John McCoy.

Washington State has 49 districts and each or these has two Representatives (98 total) and one Senator. The legislative system is similar to Congress in that legislation must pass through both houses. There is a Governor who signs off the final bill. Don't get confused here with the 2 senators and several representatives who sit in Congress in DC and represent Washington…we did!

John is Chair of the Committee on Transport, Energy and Climate Change and was therefore knowledgeable on all the issues we had previously heard about. He agreed with us that the numerous utility companies did not make for easy application of legislation and initiatives in energy and climate change and hinted he would like a single state utility to do everything. Of course, as a realist, he was sceptical about this ever happening, but has commissioned some university research to examine the possibility.

There is interest in a feed in tariff type mechanism, which is often called a Standard Offer Contract. The idea is to enter into a contract for say 20 years with a price of unit electricity delivered based on the technology and with allowance for a small profit by end of contract. There are a large number of issues with this proposal at both federal and state level, so I wouldn't expect to see any movement soon.

We also learned that the utility penalty of $50 per MW for missing RPS is to be paid to State funds and will be used to deploy new renewable technologies or energy efficiency measures.

Washington State has a silicon business providing materials for solar PV and is interested in bringing other aspects of the supply chain to the State. There is also interest from Boeing on biofuels and wind power. There is also interest in electric vehicles and there is ongoing work on the recharging infrastructure.

Our final appointment of the day was dinner with Joe McDermott, a State Senator, who was kind enough to answer all my questions about the political system. I’ll not summarise this here, but feel free to ask me about it.

Climate Change and Energy Program - Part 4

Tuesday 2nd November

On Tuesday we spent a day at Tacoma Power (TP), a municipal (public) owned energy company established in1893. TP serves 160,000 customers and proved to be an interesting model to explore what we previously learned at FERC.

TP is a very low carbon company, deriving the majority of their energy from hydro power - a commodity that Washington State is blessed with. TP only produces half the energy it requires, the rest it buys from Bonneville Power Administration - a large DoE agency based in the Pacific North West that runs a number of Federal hydro dams and also a nuclear power plant.

Stepping back for a minute, it is clear that Washington State is a good example of the complexity of the US electricity system. It has numerous Public Owned Utilities (POUs) and Investor Owned Utilities (IOUs) and also Rural Cooperatives. The T&D infrastructure is owned by numerous players (including all of the above) and there is significant inter-company energy trading. As we have heard previously there is a Renewable Power Standard (RPS) in place in the State, which requires 15% electricity to be derived from Renewables by 2020_on top_ of what is already produced. Energy efficiency measures do count toward this, although as discussed below, some measures do not.

As already noted, TP portfolio is almost exclusively hydro power and already they have a surplus, so building additional renewable power is uneconomical. Therefore TP propose, in the most part, to achieve the RES through efficiency measures, which they call conservation. They also see this strategy as a means to avoid building significant new power in the future. They noted that current demand grows about 2% per year.

A quick aside here - Washington State has considerable wind resources and these are being exploited by other companies to meet RES. Already this has resulted, on windy days, in an excess if power on the market. Hydro companies must generate to moderate river flow, and in this situation it has resulted in them paying customers to accept power that they need to dump on the system. This is something that we might expect to see in the UK as wind power levels come up.

Returning to conservation, TP has a conservation pathway to meet their RPS obligation which boils down to monthly aspirations. They have three broad initiatives ongoing which are industrial, domestic and NEEA. Broadly speaking the first two include efficiency measures we have previously heard about such as low energy lights, reduced cost for efficient HVAC equipment, work with large companies on efficiency projects and preferential customer rates on energy star whites goods. NEEA (the North West Energy Alliance) is a Trade Association that numerous energy utilities pay fees to in return for a share of their large energy efficiency projects (such as hospital energy efficiency). Broadly speaking it seemed that TP were on track to meet the RPS. A good job as there is a $50 per MW fine for missing the target! They were aware that they are hitting the low hanging fruit and that more difficult things will have to be examined in the future.

Curiously, behavioural measures, such as advertising campaigns, even if they result in lower energy usage, do not count toward the RES target, which to me seemed completely perverse. I’ve asked a few people about this and it turns out that this is a consequence of the poorly written Public Bill that passed into legislation. It appears that Bills can only be changed after two years, and the first time they tried to change this bill in the State it failed to pass through the legislative process (in other words it didn’t get the majority vote). This means it’ll have to wait until next year.

TP have a smart meter project ongoing and have rolled it out to 16,000 customers. Communication is based on fibre optics and they have actually started a cable and broadband company to take advantage of the fact they are laying the cable anyway. This system has enabled a pay as you go tariff for customers on the poverty line (which comprise 40% of their customer base!). The system allows customers to buy credit (as little as $5 at a time) and then warns them when it's time to top up (they will be cut of off if they don't pay). In contrast to the UK system, this system works out cheaper for customers, as service charges are based on how much power is used.

We also had the opportunity to visit one of TPs hydro projects, which was great fun. We learned that in some of the dam systems where you might have five dams in a cascade on one river, it may be the case that each project is owned by a different company, meaning that there has to be close collaboration to regulate river flow (e.g. one company cannot generate flat out if others don't want the flow).

A final point - as a POU, TP are not supposed to make a profit. It's OK for them to have a surplus as long as the money is reinvested into necessary projects. This means that potentially investment in infrastructure is possible, albeit at a slow rate. Obviously this isn't necessarily the case for IOUs.

Saturday 31 October 2009

Climate Change and Alternative Energy Program - Part 3

Finally Denver is living up to its reputation as a 300 sunny days a year city – it’s a beautiful morning. Yesterday we had three great meetings, starting at the Governors’ Energy Office.

Colorado’s Governor, Bill Ritter, is a fan of renewable energy, and there are good reasons for him to be so in Colorado. The State has good wind and solar resources and is also a farming and forestry State. The presence of a number of national laboratories, including NREL, and a number of Universities, means that there is a highly educated and motivated workforce and good support for cleantech businesses. Colorado has a Climate Change Plan (20% GHG reduction by 2020 based on 2005 levels) and also a Renewable Energy Standard (RES, 20% renewable power by 2020). Interestingly the RES was then result of a populous movement – a bottom-up demand rather than a top-down one.

In case it’s not clear, Standards in America, like the RES, are targets that must be met. In the case of Colorado, consumers are protected from steep price hikes by a cap on the maximum increase on energy bills of 2%. If measures would take the price above this, the obligation on suppliers is removed.

Colorado, like all States, has received Recovery Funds. In this case the annual energy budget has risen from $10M to $90M. The majority of this fund is being deployed towards weatherisation of homes (insulation and the like). The increase means that up to $6K can be spent on homes (up from $2K) and the qualifying income bracket has been increased so that more homes can be refurbished. Also energy companies have schemes such as low-carbon design assistance for new buildings and also price reduction on best in class technologies for business such as fridges.

Colorado is aggressively promoting itself to companies and has had major success in attracting wind companies (including Vestas) and solar companies. Companies are offered tax incentives and help with staffing if they move to Colorado.

There is a forthcoming Renewable Energy Deployment Initiative which has mapped out Colorado’s energy priorities, which are essentially:
  • More investment in wind and solar
  • Greater emphasis on energy efficiency
  • Improved HV transmission infrastructure
  • Coal power (Colorado has significant coal resources)
  • Natural gas development and its integration in a high RE grid
After the Governors’ office we moved a couple of blocks over to meet with the Western Governors’ Association (WGA). As you are probably aware, in the absence of National action on global warming, individual States, such have California, have taken it upon themselves to commit to action. Additionally, groups of States have cooperated, and the WGA is an example of this.

WGA represents 19 Western States, including Colorado, Washington (which we visit on Monday) and California. Such associations are a good way to “beat up on” Federal Government and are also a route to explore climate change measures such as GHG cap and trade schemes. Currently a number of Western States and also four Canadian Provinces (who have autonomy to set law) are exploring setting up such a system, although it’s unlikely to be operational until 2012. There are two other State collaborations in the US, a mid-West group (comprising 5 States) and a North East (comprising 13 States) how are active in developing cap and trade systems and in fact the NE market is active, although the carbon price is low (a couple of dollars per tonne).

The WGA noted the problems in building new transmission and distribution (T&D) infrastructure that we heard about in Washington DC; citing particular issues around habitats, water, NIMBYISM – all of which are typically dealt with by different authorities at both the State and Federal level. WGA are looking to carry out a project to examine the Western energy resources (and limits such as water availability) and then map out a potential transmission system to move the power around (at a size commensurate with the resource rather than the initial development). They are hoping to get around $20M to carry out this work. Once again the problems with bringing renewable electricity from the resource (i.e. the north for wind) to the demand (i.e. California) through numerous States was emphasised – there is no good model to work how pays/benefits.

We discussed the possibility of a National policy on Climate Change and once again it was apparent that this is still a ways off. One opinion was that it could be 3-5 years before there is such a policy, which means that the emphasis remains very much on State level initiatives. I should also say that WGA has an agreement on climate adaptation as a number of States, including Colorado are already seeing significant impacts, such as reduced water and forest degradation. It was noted that the rather conservative water utilities are already leading the way on adaptation measures.

Interestingly we also learned that there have been no new coal power stations built in the US since the 80’s, nor any nuclear new build. Most new power has been derived through natural gas, which there have recently been new finds nationally, improving security of supply.

I have to say that this was a really interesting meeting – lots of knowledge exchange and some opportunities for further discussions. Good luck to the WGA!

Out final meeting was with the Colorado Cleantech Industry Association (CCIA), which is a relatively new body (8 months old). The CCIA already has 115 members, 90% of which are SMEs, with clusters around smart grids, biofuels, transportation and solar. A key role of the CCIA is to keep track of policy at both the Federal level and State level, which is a pretty tough task considering so far there are only two employees!

A key priority for CCIA is investment in innovation, particularly for small companies; the State tends to prefer relationships with large companies. It was noted that the Waxman-Markey Bill contains a proposal for innovation hubs, one of which (solar, wind or energy efficiency) might well come to Colorado. It was also clear from the meeting that a there is a shortage in the executive workforce (e.g. business savvy directors etc) particularly for SMEs, which is a similar situation to the UK. There are some interesting programmes in the US to encourage skilled people into the sector, although the schemes are quite small currently.

CCIA will also be active in networking its members and encouraging technology transfer between them.

Friday 30 October 2009

Climate Change and Alternative Energy Program Part II

Our last meeting in Washington was with the Federal Energy Regulation Commission (FERC). FERC is essentially responsible for regulating the following industries:
  • Electric power
  • Natural gas
  • Oil pipeline
  • Hydroelectric
In a jam packed meeting, we learned a huge amount. Firstly, the American energy system is completely and utterly different to the UKs. Nowhere is this more apparent than in electricity, but let me start with the simple example of natural gas. FERC tend to own and regulate the national infrastructure, such as gas stores, LNG stores and the pipelines that take these into the different States. They don’t own the infrastructure for extracting and processing the gas nor do they own or regulate the infrastructure within the State; that is regulated by the State itself. The price of gas used to be set be FERC, but is now deregulated as there is sufficient competition in the system. So the lesson here is that it’s up to individual States to distribute the gas, once it’s been delivered. This lessons, crudely, applies to most energy services – they are managed and regulated at the State level.

So, gas is fairly simple, electricity, however, is not. In fact it’s so complicated I’m going to really struggle to explain it. The role of FERC is to regulate sales from generators to distributors. Distributers then sell power to customers (which might be other distributors, in which case FERC regulates again), which is regulated by the individual States. Electricity price has never been deregulated, so the role of FERC is to ensure a “just and reasonable price” to consumers, which I think means agreeing a reasonable price for sale from the generator (and assuming that mark-ups down the chain aren’t too high).

In the whole electricity system, FERC owns virtually nothing. Almost all power plants and transmission and distribution infrastructure is either privately or State owned, and there are literally thousands of companies involved. There are basically three sorts of arrangements:

  • Investor owned utilities – these date back to the days of Edison where the Federal Government allowed monopolies in return for a guarantee of universal, safe, reliable service. Curiously, the power companies did not receive payment per unit electricity, but rather had a profit based on sunk capital meaning they were encouraged to build. Apparently the rate of return was set at a rather healthy 10-11%!
  • Cooperatives – These formed in low-population areas, such as farming States, where it would be expensive to lay power lines. Essentially the Federal Government offers a low cost loan (the “Rural Utilities Service”, which is paid back over time by the co-ops. The co-ops are run by a board of directors, which has in some instances lead to corruption.
  • Municipal/Public Authorities – is where the State has invested in the supply and transmission and distribution infrastructure. These bodies are essentially self-regulating.
I should also mention that there are a number of Regional Transmission Organisations, where the States or private owners have pooled resources to service a number of States (so that the mnost efficient system can be developed).

Overall, the infrastructure in America is as old as it is in the UK, and it’s very difficult (because of the number of different players) to incentivise new build. Also the private/State ownership of land and T&D networks means that it is extremely difficult to put new power lines down that cross through different States as each one will want to negotiate and have the power to block progress. This means it is difficult to move wind power down from where the resource is, in the North of America, to the demand (typically on the coasts).

The market for electricity is somewhat complicated. It’s regional/local and is typically divided into 24 1-hourly slots per day (where people bid for the next day). Both supply and demand sides bid for power (e.g. supply says I have 200MW available at 13.00 for $X, demand wants 200MW at 13.00 for $Y). Bids are matched, with cheapest dealt with first. This process continues until the gas power is reached (the most expensive/volatile) and at this point the price is set for the next day’s generation at that hour (which can make it very profitable for cheaper technologies). This sort of made my head spin!

The way the market works means that certain areas, such as New York City, which have high demand, little supply and suffer transmission congestion, can face very high spot prices. This is dealt with to a certain extent through demand management. Big users of power will get paid by suppliers if they cut back their demand within 30 minutes of a reliability warning. FERC would like to roll this out more broadly whereby users could get the market price per unit of power not used during crunch times.

It follows that there great interest in smart grids. We saw a strategy that estimated up to 20% of peak demand could be avoided through active demand management of technologies including air conditioners, fridges and electric vehicles. There are some very big plans for smart grids and FERC is currently writing a Strategy paper for Congress. NIST is currently consulting on standards for smart meters, and are open to international collaboration so if this is something you are interested in I can probably get you a contact.

Microgeneration, such as PV, have to be accepted back into the grid with the consumer typically being credited for the power exported (i.e. the meter runs backwards). I didn’t get a feel for whether there is any incentive other than this for consumers to invest in microgeneration (for example capital loans). I think probably not.

So, I’ve mainly learned that the electricity system is hugely complicated. It's a mix of state and private level companies with some cross-State relationships. Federal Government has little power over the system, other than in protecting consumers from excessive prices. If new capacity is required States have to demand and incentivise the producers to do this. Nimbyism is potent in America and is a real problem for upgrading T&D infrastructure. There are extremely ambitious plans for smart grids but it is unclear how these would be deployed.

I am writing this blog on my iPhone as we hurtle west towards Denver. I think the whole group is really looking forward to this part as not only are we visiting national laboratories but we are also going to be celebrating Halloween with American families. I'm glad I bought the Harrods chocolate with me now! We are also looking forward to a visit to the rocky mountain national park on Sunday.

UPDATE

Snowed in!

Denver is under a foot of snow! It's a real shame as it means that we can't visit NREL or indeed the Smart Grid house that we had planned.

Am currently sat in a coffee shop inside a giant sports store writing this after a chilly and slushy walk through a rather beautiful Denver.

Our hotel, the Brown Palace is magnificent, it's 120 years old (which is old over here) and features a superb cigar bar (not that I've been in there, honestly) and a superb, but jaw droppingly expensive breakfast.

Hopefully the weather will clear tomorrow so that we can visit the State energy team at the state.

UPDATE 2

Weather looks much better today (Friday), so the visits are on. This should be really interesting to see how the individual State deals with energy policy. More to follow...

Wednesday 28 October 2009

Climate Change and Alternative Energy Program Part I

Wednesday 27th October

Greetings from Washington DC!

I’ve been here since Sunday 25th, but thanks to a rather busy business and social programme I am only just able to commit some text to this blog I promised to deliver. My brain is a bit fried so I apologise if this doesn’t make perfect sense (not that I often make perfect sense…). If you remember, I am here on the Climate Change and Energy Program, which is sponsored by the US State Department. Our intrepid band of travellers comprises seven people representing DECC, UKERC (that’s me by the way), Edinburgh University, Sustainable Development Commission, the Welsh Assembly, the Nuclear Industry Association and House of Commons ECC Select Committee. We’re here, as reasonably early career people, to learn about how things get done here in America. The Washington DC programme is focussing on Capitol Hill and on the passage of the various Climate Change Bills through the two Houses and also to some extent on how the recovery funds are being deployed.

So far we have met with policy think tanks, the Department of Energy, staff for a Republican Senator and the Environment Protection Agency. I haven’t got time to delve into the details, and I don’t want to get in trouble for attributing comments, so I’m going to keep this extremely high level and make just a few observations. The fact that it’s 30 minutes until dinner has nothing to do with it at all…

1) Don’t get your hopes up about Copenhagen. The strong message is that there won’t be a global deal at Copenhagen – I’m sure that this isn’t a massive surprise to most. There are a number of reasons, but key is that no domestic US Climate Change Bills will be ready in time. Currently, there appear to be three documents circulating:
  • The Waxman-Markley Bill, which has been passed by the House of Representatives (you need to get through both Houses before something can become law, like in the UK).
  • The Boxer-Kerry Bill, which is the new Bill, which is currently being discussed at the Senate.
  • The Bingaman Bill, which is also being discussed in the Senate

I daren’t get into details on these as they are all extremely complicated (the first runs to 1400 pages or so), but in essence most rely on a cap and trade system with permits (to emit GHGs) either allocated (e.g. current EU ETS) or 100% auctioned (e.g. future EU ETS). At the moment, allocation is favoured in the Bills, but many people we have talked with would prefer 100% auctioning. In the meantime, EPA is starting to collect data on GHGs from the relevant industries (those emitting more than 25,000 tonnes per year), which is compliant with Kyoto reporting. The main point is that there isn’t any hope of any of these Bills getting through the system before December, and without a domestic policy there isn’t a hope of signing up to a global agreement.

It’s not wholly negative as there is optimism that some of the really tricky elements that could lead to a global agreement could be cracked in Copenhagen, paving the way for agreement.

2) There is a lot of recovery money sloshing around. For example we have learned that the DoE budget for low carbon technologies in 2009 was $5.5bn – that is some serious cash. I did a back of an envelope calculation and I reckon that this (on a per capita basis) is the equivalent of an injection of £611M into the UK. Remember that the budget of the ETI is around £600M over 10 years; so this, for example, would represent a 10-fold increase for a given year, and likely the same again the following year.

There are some interesting issues over how the money can be spent, since it all needs to be spent (or committed) over 2-years. From what I’ve seen, there will be numerous big projects, kind of similar to ETI projects, with a focus on delivering products to market within 3-5 years. I think we’ll find out more about these when we visit the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in Denver on Thursday.

3) There is a Plan B. If none of the Climate Change Bills pass the Houses, then the EPA does have the power to regulate GHGs under the Clean Air Act, because they represent a hazard to human health. Because this approach would be clunky, bureaucratic and prone to legal challenges, it is far from ideal, but there is work ongoing to set it up as a fall back.

I do hope in a later post to touch upon a “Green Bank” proposal and also the way in which things seem to get done in the Senate, but haven’t the time right now.

We fly out to Denver today where we will see some of the national research laboratories and also learn about State level policy and politics.

Friday 1 May 2009

UKERC Energy 2050 report launched

This week I honestly thought there was no going to be no chance for me to get a newsletter out as today is the only day I've been in the office. However, there has simply been too much going on for me not to broadcast it.

Of course the most important event was the launch of the UKERC 2050 Energy report yesterday. Nearly 350 people were registered for the event and over 200 attended. The audience were thrilled by a succession of talks by the authors and insightful commentary by invited guests. The audience were provoked by a series of electronic polls an there were some very interesting answers. In due course we'll put these on the website, but as taster we found that 72% of our audience thought that the UK would achieve only a 60% or lower reduction in carbon emissions by 2050, despite the fact that 31% believed that a >90% emissions reduction was technically and economically feasible. There was also a full and frank discussion between the audience and speakers and I know that we have gleaned a number of excellent ideas for research in Phase II.

I'm sure some of you are interested in what the report actually says, so I have repeated the key messages, summarised by Professor Jim Skea, below:
  • Achieving a resilient low-carbon energy system in the UK is technically and economically feasible at an affordable cost
  • There are multiple pathways to a low-carbon economy. A key trade-off is the speed of reduction in energy demand versus the decarbonisation of energy supply
  • Driving down energy demand plays brings multiple benefits. It insures against: The possible failure of key technologies to deliver; Social resistance to the use of certain supply side technologies; and Price shocks and import dependence
  • Aggressive promotion of energy efficiency and conservation technologies is the least cost means of driving down energy demand

For the detail I strongly recommend that you read the full report.


In addition to the launch event there was also a media briefing event on Wednesday organised through the Science Media Centre. This event registered a huge amount of interest and a number of stories in the popular media. I've dedicated the news section of NERN to this but for those interested the pieces in the Times (and also here), Reuters and the FT were all good.


In addition to the UKERC 2050 report launch (and the following celebrations) this week also saw the last workshop of Carbon Crucible. Our participants worked on their project proposal in a workshop in Oxford and have generated 14 ideas so far. At UKERC and NESTA we are now turning our attention to how we might continue Carbon Crucible in the future. If anyone has any ideas for UK, EU or international funding schemes that we might tap into then please them to me. You can also post me large bags of money as well if you feel so inclined…


Elsewhere in the news I'm sure many of you will have seen the press release from DECC regarding carbon capture and storage. The intent can be summarised as follows - No new coal without CCS demonstration from day one. Alongside the Government's ongoing competition to build a post-combustion demonstrator, up to three further projects including pre-combustion technology, will be funded by a new levy mechanism. This strikes me as a major new development and a very clear message about the future of coal.

Thursday 23 April 2009

Budget 2009 - what's in it for me?

So I didn't manage to extract any thoughts from NERN members about the wish list for the Budget, but at least now we have our hands on the actual thing itself. I'm sure you'll all have been pouring over it to see to what extent it matched the "green budget" rhetoric, but for those who didn't have the chance (or willpower), here are some top level highlights.

Before I get into Chapter 7 of the 2009 Budget (Building a Low-Carbon Recovery) it is worth noting a couple of other relevant points. Firstly, Fuel Duty is expected to increase by 2% per litre from September 2009 and by a minimum of 1 pence per year for the next few years afterwards. Secondly, a car scrappage scheme has been announced that aims, from next month, to provide a £2000 discount on new vehicles for owners of vehicles older than 10-years. As far as I can see this scheme does not incentive the purchase of low carbon vehicles. Finally, there is mention in of a Strategic Investment Fund worth up to £750 million – it is likely that this money will include an element of green tech funds.


Moving into Chapter 7, it is fair to say that a number of 'green' measures have been announced, representing around £1.4bn of 'new' money. The Government has set the world's first carbon budget in committing the UK to a 34% reduction in carbon emissions by 2020 (as recommended by the Committee on Climate Change - CCC). There is no commitment to the 42% target recommended by the CCC in the event of a global post-Kyoto agreement. The key fiscal measures are summarised below:

  • 375 million pounds for energy and resource efficiency in business, public buildings and households, including 10 million for waste infrastructure
  • 405 million pounds to support development of low-carbon and advanced green manufacturing sector in the UK
  • Funding for at least two and up to four CCS pilot plants, from previous plans to support just one, to test pre-combustion as well as post-combustion processes as previously planned
    60 million pounds to fund engineering and design studies for carbon capture and storage
  • 70 million pounds to support decentralized small-scale and community low-carbon energy
  • 525 million pounds funding for offshore wind over the next two years under the Renewables Obligation scheme
  • Combined heat and power (CHP) exemption from climate change levy from 2013-23, implying 2.5 billion pounds investment, potentially adding 3 gigawatts of new power by 2015

Additional, measures announced included tax cut incentives for companies to encourage further North Sea oil production. Landfill tax will increase by £8 per tonne each year on 1 April between 2011 and 2013 and £10 million of new grants are offered to businesses to deliver anaerobic digestion.


Personally, I'm finding it a little difficult to see how I am being incentivised by the budget to be 'greener'. For example, I've mentioned previously that I've done all the simple things in my house to improve energy efficiency and that now I'd like to install some low-carbon technologies. There is nothing here for me. Of course I realise that the incentives that I am after are enclosed within the current Heat and Energy Saving Strategy, but I won't be able to access these until 2011 at the earliest. The measures in this budget may well result in me lowering my carbon footprint because of grid electricity decarbonisation, but that strikes me as a lazy approach on my behalf. Besides, I want to be able to boast about my green credentials! I think perhaps I was hoping that this budget might empower me to do something that previously I couldn't…but it doesn't. Shame really.

Friday 3 April 2009

If you were the Chancellor what would you include in the budget this year?

This week, I thought I would break the tradition of telling you things and instead I like to seek your opinion. The UK 2009 budget will be announced on 22 April – it’s the first budget since the Committee on Climate Change announced the carbon budgets and of course it’s also a recession budget. Rather than speculate on the rumours that are flying around, I thought it might be interesting to ask your opinion on the following:

“If you were Chancellor, what measures would you include in the budget that would firmly put the UK on a path towards a resilient, low carbon economy?”

You can leave your comments under the blog entry with the same name at the following weblink - http://ukerc.blogspot.com/. Don’t be shy!

After Easter (no newsletter next week) I’ll feature some of the comments (he said optimistically hoping to be inundated) in the newsletter. The comments will be anonymous so please feel encouraged to download what’s on your mind.

In other news, I delighted to report that NERN has officially passed 500 members (506 and counting). By the end of this year it would be fantastic if we could have more than 1000 members, so please do tell you energy research friends about us.

More acronyms for you - DTCs, EIT and KICs

Top of the news list this week is that there are heaps of excellent PhD studentships up for grabs at Sheffield and Leeds (and possibly I suspect elsewhere). Why? You may have heard that the EPSRC has supported 44 Doctoral Training Centres (DTC) across the UK. According to the EPSRC these DTCs:

"aim to provide a supportive and exciting environment for students to carry out a challenging PhD-level research project together with taught coursework. The new centres will each take in around 10 students per year for five years starting in 2009."

So if you are an energy student looking for a PhD opportunity then these are the DTCs you should be looking out for:
University of Bath - Sustainable Chemical Technologies
University of Birmingham - Hydrogen, Fuel Cells and their Application
University of Leeds - Technologies for a Low Carbon Future
University of Manchester - Nuclear Fission Research, Science and Technology AND
Industrial Doctorate Centre in Nuclear Engineering
University of Nottingham - Efficient Power from Fossil Energies and Carbon Capture Technologies
University of Reading - Technologies for Sustainable Built Environments
University of Sheffield - Sheffield Training in Interdisciplinary Energy Research: STIER
University of Southampton - Industrial Doctorate Centre in Transport and the Environment
University of Strathclyde - Doctoral Training Centre in Wind Energy Systems
University of Surrey - Industrial Doctorate Centre in Sustainability for Engineering and Energy Systems
UCL - Industrial Doctorate Centre in Urban Sustainability and Resilience AND
Doctoral Training Centre in Photonic Systems Development

Plenty of choice for even the most discerning graduate I would hope.

This week I've also been learning about the European Institute of Innovation and Technology (EIT). Rather than try and explain what EIT is, I've lifted a suitably vague description from the website:

"The EIT has the potential to become a key driver of European sustainable economic growth and competitiveness through the stimulation of world-leading innovation. Next to and beyond research and technology, EIT will focus on education, entrepreneurship, business creation and their capitalization in order to boost Europe's innovation capacity. This will be done in a cross-fertilizing effort with existing European programmes on Research and Technology, innovation and entrepreneurship."

You may wonder why I'm boring you by discussing the EIT (I'm not just filling space – honestly). Well as it happens there is an initiative in the pipeline that might be of interest to some of you. The EIT is soon launching a call for Knowledge and Innovation Communities (KICs). The call is expected imminently (although from experience don't hold your breath). You can read all the details about KICs here, but I thought it might be worthwhile giving the very top level highlights.

Three KICs are expected in the first call, and two are of interest for this community – one on sustainable energy and one on climate change and mitigation. A KIC is an international consortium of researchers, technologists, educators, business people, entrepreneurs (yes, non-EU partners can be involved). The difference between a KIC and other programmes is that the EIT is not giving money to fund research. The EIT wants to provide money (up to perhaps 25M euro per year) that will enable a KIC to do something dramatic and exciting. EIT funding is additive to funding already available to the consortium (e.g. won research grants, business grants, etc). This KIC funding (I'm refusing to say "KIC start" here) could be used for several purposes. One strong idea is to facilitate people movement to a central location where they can innovate to their hearts content. Another suggestion I believe I heard was for the money to be used to provide funding to small businesses to de-risk product development. The overall aim is that the KIC will:

"deliver a measurable impact on society from an economic, scientific, educational and entrepreneurial perspective."

So, as I mentioned, it's all a bit vague right now, but it did seem to me to be something slightly more exciting that I first imagined. I'll try to keep an eye out for the call (which may well debunk a number of the myths I've just propagated) and will update as and when appropriate.

Copenhagen

As I'm sure most of you have heard; there has been an International Scientific Congress on Climate Change this week in Copenhagen (10 – 12 March). The main aim of the congress was to provide a synthesis of existing and emerging scientific knowledge necessary in order to make intelligent societal decisions concerning application of mitigation and adaptation strategies in response to climate change. There was heavy emphasis on influencing policy.

The conference, which was attended by 2500 delegates from 80 countries, has produced a set of six preliminary messages, which have been handed to the Danish Prime Minister Mr. Anders Fogh Rasmussen ahead of the COP 15 meeting in December. I've reproduced these messages in full below:

Key Message 1: Climatic Trends
Recent observations confirm that, given high rates of observed emissions, the worst-case IPCC scenario trajectories (or even worse) are being realised. For many key parameters, the climate system is already moving beyond the patterns of natural variability within which our society and economy have developed and thrived. These parameters include global mean surface temperature, sea-level rise, ocean and ice sheet dynamics, ocean acidification, and extreme climatic events. There is a significant risk that many of the trends will accelerate, leading to an increasing risk of abrupt or irreversible climatic shifts.

Key Message 2: Social disruption
The research community is providing much more information to support discussions on 'dangerous climate change'. Recent observations show that societies are highly vulnerable to even modest levels of climate change, with poor nations and communities particularly at risk. Temperature rises above 2 Celsius will be very difficult for contemporary societies to cope with, and will increase the level of climate disruption through the rest of the century.

Key Message 3: Long-Term Strategy
Rapid, sustained, and effective mitigation based on coordinated global and regional action is required to avoid 'dangerous climate change' regardless of how it is defined. Weaker targets for 2020 increase the risk of crossing tipping points and make the task of meeting 2050 targets more difficult. Delay in initiating effective mitigation actions increases significantly the long-term social and economic costs of both adaptation and mitigation.

Key Message 4 - Equity Dimensions
Climate change is having, and will have, strongly differential effects on people within and between countries and regions, on this generation and future generations, and on human societies and the natural world. An effective, well-funded adaptation safety net is required for those people least capable of coping with climate change impacts, and a common but differentiated mitigation strategy is needed to protect the poor and most vulnerable.

Key Message 5: Inaction is Inexcusable
There is no excuse for inaction. We already have many tools and approaches - economic, technological, behavioural, management - to deal effectively with the climate change challenge. But they must be vigorously and widely implemented to achieve the societal transformation required to decarbonise economies. A wide range of benefits will flow from a concerted effort to alter our energy economy now, including sustainable energy job growth, reductions in the health and economic costs of climate change, and the restoration of ecosystems and revitalisation of ecosystem services.

Key Message 6: Meeting the Challenge
To achieve the societal transformation required to meet the climate change challenge, we must overcome a number of significant constraints and seize critical opportunities. These include reducing inertia in social and economic systems; building on a growing public desire for governments to act on climate change; removing implicit and explicit subsidies; reducing the influence of vested interests that increase emissions and reduce resilience; enabling the shifts from ineffective governance and weak institutions to innovative leadership in government, the private sector and civil society; and engaging society in the transition to norms and practices that foster sustainability.

Many of you will have noticed there have been a number of stories in the media relating to the congress. Here are a few snippets I've picked out.

One that caught my eye immediately was the headline 'Top scientist: don't trust politicians on climate change'. In essence, John Ashton told scientists that "the truth could be lost to political expediency or mischief and urged scientists to couch their conclusions in terms that could not be misunderstood or go unheard." And I thought I was cynical!

The Hadley Centre have suggested that even with drastic CO2 cuts there is only a 50:50 chance of restricting global temperature rise to 2 Celsius in 2100. This, 'best case' scenario would require emissions to peak in 2015 and decrease at 3% per year thereafter. For every ten year delay the additional temperature rise will be 0.5 Cesius.

Renewable power could account for up to 40% of global electricity demand by 2050 but only if there adequate financial and political support.

We should dump the "inefficient and ineffective" Kyoto protocol and replace it with a global carbon tax according to leading economist William Nordhaus.

And finally, according to Terry Barker, "combating climate change may not be a question of who will carry the burden but could instead be a rush for the benefits".

Energy career options

You'll have seen above that UKERC is organising a webinar on Delivering a sustainable energy system: Career options? It's aimed at A-level and undergraduate students who are interested in a career in energy, but who might not have appreciated the full breadth and complexity (and thus opportunity) of the energy system. As a presenter in the webinar I feel obliged to heartily endorse the quality of the speakers and make a plea for you to advertise the event to anyone, in our target audience, who you think might benefit from participating.

The UKERC webinar is part of the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) Festival of Social Science (FoSS). Since UKERC is participating, I thought I'd have a look at the "competition" with regards to other energy related events in the festival.

The FoSS, which runs 6 – 15th March is designed to communicate information about the social sciences and how social science impacts on our lives. The events take a variety of formats, from traditional lectures and seminars, to exhibitions, film screenings and topical debates. Furthermore, they are aimed at a range of different audiences, including policy makers, business, the media, the general public and students of all ages.

I've been looking through the programme and have cherry picked some events that interest me, and hopefully you as well.

Within the programme aimed at school and college students, in addition to the UKERC webinar, the Sussex Energy Group Climate Change Debate on 11th March will bring together three teams of sixth form students to debate possible solutions to climate change. Fulham Primary School are running an event on Lowering carbon emission by sustainable travel on 12th March – it sounds like a great idea to get the kids involved in this at such an early age.
For those who have a specific interest in a subject, the ESRC National Centre for Research Methods is organising a workshop on Climate Change: Social Science and Civil Society Perspectives on 9th March. The workshop aims to achieve a meeting of minds between academics, environmental groups and members of the policy community with interests in the social science research agenda (broadly conceived) into the climate crisis. On the next day, 10th March, RELU-Biomass are running a stakeholder meeting on "How will energy crops affect our landscapes?" at Rothamsted Manor.

Elsewhere in the programme, there are some really events that have caught my interest including:
Curious People
The Credit Crunch: Gender Equality in Hard Times
The Social Life of Plants
The 'Credit Crunch': Consequences for UK Households
Talent and Autism
Research and evidence in policy making debate

In the energy news this week, a couple of stories have snagged my attention. Scientists have been using satellite images of the gravitational force across the surface of the Earth to identify likely new of oil and gas fields. The method works on the basis that such deposits are surrounded by relatively light materials than have less gravitational force than surrounding materials. Worryingly, but perhaps unsurprisingly, the tool is expected to be particularly useful for identifying resources that will be uncovered as the Arctic ice melts.

The Independent has followed up my breaking news story of last week to announce that "Britain fails to deliver on pledge to lead world to 'green recovery'". Well, perhaps they weren't exactly following up my story...

The solar industry is apparently celebrating a historic milestone due to the production of a solar module with a cost below $1 per watt of generating capacity. The Chinese car industry is also celebrating their achievement in coming from nowhere to producing the first commercial petrol plug in hybrid car. The car, made by Build Your Dreams Auto, can be recharged by mains electricity and can travel for 62 miles on a full charge before switching the petrol engine. For those interested in running off and purchasing one, it costs a rather reasonable £15,000.
For those of you wondering where the animal related news is, you be delighted to know that a brand new species of psychedelic bouncing fishhas been discovered. I'm struggling to work out the energy angle here, but it probably has something to do with the bouncing.

Friday 27 February 2009

Green spending in the economic downturn

Firstly, a big thanks to those of you who responded to last call for discussion on low carbon heat and my house. Thanks to NERN members I've learned the importance of sealing skirting boards and also have a bundle of literature comparing low carbon heat technologies.

Perhaps it's a sign of the economy woes, but I'm struggling to spot any job and funding opportunities at the moment - if you have heard of anything please do let me know.

This week I've been inspired by a piece in the Guardian – "Great clean up – can economic rescue plan also save the planet " – in which the green claims of the global economy recovery plans are scrutinised. Thanks to whoever pinned that up on our notice board!

So how much do experts think we should be spending on green measures? Sir Nick Stern thinks that green measures should comprise 20% of these plans. The UN has suggests an annual target of 1% GDP.

How do the various economic recovery plans match these ambitions? I should place an important caveat here that I'm going from a HSBC table in the Guardian – I just thought I'd make it clear that these figures might not stand up to scrutiny (particularly since the article itself seems to contradict them).

Unsurprisingly, it is a rather mixed picture. South Korea is leading the way, devoting nearly 70% (3% of its GDP) to green measures in their $36bn package. China is next, pledging one third of their mighty $581bn package (I estimate 4.6% GDP) to green measures, with a focus on energy efficient (which as we see is a good thing). You'll note I haven't mentioned the UK yet – I'm getting there. What about the USA? Well, of the whopping $825bn recovery package, around 16% is pledged to green measures (which by my rough calculations is around 0.9% US GDP) – so quite reasonable. In Europe, out of an overall recovery package (announced so far) of $253bn, 14% appears to be attributed to green plans. Germany is the leading light here, pledging 19% of their package to green investments (although representing just 0.3% of their GDP). In Europe both Spain (10%) and France (8%) have pledged a greater proportion of their recovery packages to green measures compared to the UK (7%). Of the total UK recovery package, at $29.9bn (about the same in euro and dollars at current exchange rate – only joking), representing about 1% of UK GDP, only $2.1bn appears to be earmarked for green things (0.07% GDP). Bottom of the pile are Japan (2%), Italy (1%) and India (0%).

So overall the packages represent a 13% spend on green measures. Although this is lower than Sir Nick Stern's proposal for 20%, it strikes me as better result than it could have been had everyone retreated into an "economy first, green second" shell. Assuming of course I'm no being greenwashed.

For those who are interested, the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change at LSE have released a policy briefing "An outline of the case for a 'green' stimulus ", which ranks green measures on economic factors and climate change impact. The central argument is that a 'green' fiscal stimulus "can provide an effective boost to the economy, increasing labour demand in a timely fashion, while at the same time building the foundations for sound, sustainable and strong growth in the future". The paper then goes on to score various measures against both economic and climate change criteria and produces a league table of measures. Perhaps unsurprisingly, those that score most highly are all related to energy efficiency. Some may raise an eyebrow at the fact that carbon capture and storage and advanced battery development prop up the bottom of the table. The reason is that neither offers an immediate shot in the arm for the economy; however, both are important medium- and long-term priorities so should be supported by appropriate measures.

Friday 20 February 2009

DECC Heat and Energy Saving Strategy

Not a huge amount of interesting news this week, so I've decided to share with you some selected highlights of the DECC Heat and Energy Saving Strategy that is now open for consultation. Or to put it another way, I've had to read the whole thing and therefore I'm going to inflict it upon you.

My first impressions are that it is really quite ambitious. Its overarching aim is for emissions from all buildings to be approaching zero by 2050 (I had an immediate mental image of a motorist claiming to be approaching zero speed after removing their foot from the accelerator at 100mph – I'm too cynical!). In practice the aim is that overall emissions from buildings will be reduced by more than 80% in 2050. Greater emission cuts [than the UK 80% target] from buildings are required in order to take up the slack from other sectors that will find it tougher going (for example transport). The top level policy measures proposed are as follows:

  • All lofts and cavities will be insulated where practical by 2015. This represents a significant acceleration of the current strategy. The current CERT scheme may be superseded by a new Community Energy Savings Programme (dependent on how a trial scheme performs).
  • Numerous accredited home energy advisors and plentiful information on energy saving and low carbon technologies will be available to homeowners and landlords to help them save energy and money.
  • Innovative financial support packages will be developed in order to encourage people to install more expensive energy saving (for example solid wall insulation) and low carbon energy generation technologies (for example heat pumps or solar thermal). This is an area that fascinates me and I'll come back to it below.
  • An examination of Building Regulations to see whether energy saving measures can be installed alongside other necessary building work. A new voluntary code of practice relating to energy efficiency and energy saving will be discussed with the building trade.
  • District heating and combined heat and power (CHP) will be re-examined and mechanisms to encourage uptake will be scrutinised.

My interest was piqued by the discussion of financial mechanisms to encourage the installation of low carbon technologies in buildings. The premise that installing such technologies will save energy and make homes more attractive for sale seems sound to me. The fact that the up-front costs puts people off is also true. So what is the Government proposing here?


One option is for Government to provide a bigger subsidy for the technologies – perhaps 50% or more (or less) of installation costs.


Option B, crudely put, is that you will take out a loan to pay the up-front costs of technology installation (for example solar thermal can cost £2-3K to install) and you will then pay back the loan plus interest, over an extended period of time (think mortgage lengths), out of the money you save. The key thing is that the loan repayments are less than the total money that you save, so, in other words, you will be paying less on energy monthly after you install the technology. So what happens if you chose to move house? On average we move house about every 9 years in the UK (I am way above average!) – what happens to the shiny new technology and of course your loan? So far it's not quite clear, and in fact the Government is looking for innovative ideas (ask the banks how they are feeling about innovative financial ideas right now). One possibility is the loan will be passed onto the new owners through an as yet undefined mechanism. Who will be giving the loan? Energy companies and mortgage companies are possibilities as both are used to long term customer relationships. What happens if you want to switch to a better deal for energy or mortgage? This is yet to be worked through, hence why they are consulting.

Option C is to apply an Energy Services Company (ESCo) model. Here companies would install the low carbon energy generation equipment, at no up-front cost, and charge consumers for the use of the services over a contract period. The ESCo would also maintain the equipment. How does the customer save money and the ESCo make a profit? The ESCo would receive any subsidies such as the feed-in tariff (or ROCs) and Renewable Heat Incentive and use these to offset the charge paid by the householder. If the householder moves then in theory the contract could be passed to the new home inhabitant. What if they don't want the service? I guess some technologies (but all) could simply be removed and installed elsewhere.


I've just used the EST tool to self-assess my house (a 1985 mid-terraced house) for its energy efficiency and achieved a B rating. I've pretty much exhausted the energy efficiency measures that I can easily install (double glazing, cavity wall insulation, condensing boiler, thermostatic control and low energy bulbs) and my energy usage has been significantly reduced. I'm now seriously considering adding a low carbon heat technology (probably solar thermal or air source heat pump) to my house; this is why, in addition to the day job, that I'm interested in the incentives and mechanisms proposed. Of the three options I'm probably more attracted by A and C. Option C is would potentially be the least effort on my behalf but I have sneaking suspicion that I'd be able to save more money with A (and I'm a very stingy Northerner). I'd love to hear your thoughts on the mechanisms (especially if I've totally misinterpreted them) and also the technology choices. I know the NERN newsletter isn't supposed to be a "help Jeff make decisions" forum but if I don't get to abuse my position now and again then I feel I would be missing out.


I promise to write about energy news next week.

Happy eco-valentine's day

Its official, energy consultation season 2009 is now open. I'm aware of three that are currently circulating the policy world, the DECC Heat and Energy Saving Strategy (HES), the Ofgem one on introduction of charging arrangements associated with Offshore Transmission Networks and the Energy and Climate Change Committee inquiry into the future of Britain's electricity networks. I'm almost certain that I've missed one or two as well. Is suspect UKERC will be responding the DECC heat and energy saving consultation.

From a personal perspective, as someone interested in fitting low carbon heat technologies at home, I was pleased to see in the DECC consultation mention of loans to cover the system costs (probably). I was slightly disappointed to when I realised that it's unlikely that any such system will be in place before 2011 though. On the home front, the Scottish Government's budget was passed after some last minute adjustments. Now included is a £30M commitment to energy efficiency in Scottish homes.

In European policy, MEPs have backed a proposal for an 80% cut in EU emissions by 2050. The proposal is outlined in the Laperouze report on the Second Strategic Energy Review. Other measures suggested include, making the 20% 2020 energy saving target a legally binding one and increasing this to 35% in 2050, and generating 60% of EU energy from renewables in 2050. There are also a number of interesting proposals relating to the EU grid.

In the news this week there are some clever ideas for adding energy generation to existing structures. The first is to converting the kinetic energy of cars passing over sleeping policemen (that's speed bumps for the non-UK readers) into electrical energy. It sounds like a good idea, although when I tried it out on a friend (the idea, not driving a car over him) he did express concerns over digging up the UK's roads and the price of copper wire (always interesting to take a natural reaction to new ideas).

The other idea is to fit wave energy generation technologies to offshore wind turbines to increase the output from a single installation. The proposal, by Green Ocean Energy, could generate an additional 500kW per wind turbine. I wonder if it is a step too far to consider the possibility of fixing a tidal stream turbine to the platform somehow?

Finally, the Guardian newspaper has suggested some eco-friendly Valentine's Day options for those who will be celebrating tomorrow – yes even love has a carbon footprint (albeit a soft and furry one I'd imagine). In a situation reminiscent of a myriad of low budget horror movies, I'll actually be braving a Valentine's celebration tonight on Friday 13th! If you don't hear from me next week, assume the worst…